Analysis: In a two-way New Hampshire race, Nikki Haley’s task gets even harder
From CNN’s Harry Enten

Former President Donald Trump and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley. AP/Getty Images
The final polls of the New Hampshire Republican primary have shown Donald Trump with a double-digit advantage over Nikki Haley. Ron DeSantis was bringing up the rear (in single digits) before deciding to bow out of the race Sunday.
So who were those DeSantis backers likely to support?
Both CNN’s poll conducted by University of New Hampshire and the Monmouth University/Washington Post survey found that DeSantis’ supporters chose Trump over Haley as their second choice by about a 2-to-1 margin.
DeSantis leaving the race doesn’t dramatically alter the state of affairs, as the Florida governor had so few supporters in New Hampshire.
But it does show how difficult things are for Haley in the Granite State and beyond. The former South Carolina governor will need to pull a Houdini-like magic trick to win tomorrow, and the trick has only become harder.
If Haley somehow manages to win in New Hampshire, she still faces a national electorate that seems bound to renominate Trump. The latest CBS News/YouGov national poll put Trump at 69% to Haley’s 12%. (DeSantis was at 14% in the same poll.)
That is basically tied for the largest advantage any GOP front-runner has had at this point in the primary process during the modern era. (George W. Bush had a similar lead before winning the nomination in 2000.)
If Haley doesn’t win in New Hampshire, she faces an additional deficit: No Republican has ever won the party nomination without winning either Iowa or New Hampshire.
Bottom line: It’s a very tall hill to climb for Haley on the eve of the first-in-the-nation primary.
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